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New Delhi : As per the latest meteorological indications,the monsoon onset over Kerala is likely to take place by June 3, 2021. The northern limit of Southwest Monsoon continues to pass through 5°N/72°E,  6°N/75°E, 8°N/80°E, 12°N/85°E, 14°N/90°E and 17°N/94°E. the southwesterly winds could strengthen further gradually from June 1, 2021,  resulting in likely enhancement in rainfall activity over Kerala. Hence, the monsoon onset over Kerala is likely to take place by  June 3, 2021.

The Western Disturbance is now seen as a trough in mid and  upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 70°E to the north of latitude 28°N. The cyclonic circulation over Punjab and  neighbourhood extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level persists. The trough from the above cyclonic circulation over Punjab and neighbourhood now runs up to northwest Rajasthan extending up to 0.9 km above mean sea level. The Cyclonic Circulation over East Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood now lies over southern parts of East Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood extending up to 4.5 km above mean sea level, according to National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

The trough from the above cyclonic circulation over southern parts of East Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood now runs up to Vidarbha extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level across Chhattisgarh and East Madhya Pradesh. The cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka coast at 3.1 km above mean sea level persists. A cyclonic circulation lies over Tamil Nadu and  neighbourhood between 5.8 & 7.6 km above mean sea level.