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New Delhi : Cyclone “Tauktae” is very likely to move north-north-westwards and reach Gujarat coast in the evening hours of May 17, 2021, and cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar & Mahuva (Bhavnagar district) during the night (2000 – 2300 hrs IST) with a maximum sustained wind speed of 155-165 kmph gusting to 185 kmph.
The very severe cyclonic storm on May 16, 2021, over eastcentral Arabian Sea moved north-north-westwards and intensified into an extremely severe cyclonic storm in the early morning (5.30 hrs IST) on May 17, 2021. It lay centred at 830 hours IST over eastcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 18.8°N and longitude 71.5°E, about 150 km west of Mumbai, 220 km south-southeast of Diu, 260 km southeast of Veraval (Gujarat), and 490 km east-southeast of Karachi (Pakistan), according to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
It is very likely to move north-north-westwards and reach Gujarat coast in the evening hours of May 17 and cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar & Mahuva (Bhavnagar district) during the night with a maximum sustained wind speed 155-165 kmph gusting to 185 kmph.
Warnings:
(i) Rainfall:
- Konkan & adjoining Madhya Maharashtra: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls and extremely heavy falls at isolated places on May 17 and isolated heavy rainfall over north Konkan on May 18
- Gujarat: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Saurashtra, Diu and adjoining Gujarat region on May 17 and heavy to very heavy falls at a few places over Gujarat region and heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places over Saurashtra on May 18. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall also likely over Kutch during the same period.
- Rajasthan: Light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy to very heavy falls & extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over south Rajasthan on May 18 and heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places over Rajasthan on May 19.
(ii) Wind warning
- Gale wind speed reaching 180–190 kmph gusting to 210 kmph is likely to prevailing over eastcentral Arabian Sea during next six hours
- Gale winds speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph is likely to prevail along & off Maharashtra coast on May 17 and gradually decrease thereafter.
- Gale wind speed reaching 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph is prevailing over adjoining northeast Arabian Sea. It would gradually increase becoming 170–180 kmph gusting to 200 kmph from evening of May for subsequent 6 hrs and decrease thereafter
- Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph is prevailing along and off south Gujarat & Daman and Diu coasts. It is likely to increase becoming Gale winds speed reaching 155-165 kmph gusting to 185 kmph along & off Gujarat coast (Amreli, Bhavnagar) Junagarh, Gir Somnath and 120 -140 kmph gusting to 165 kmph over Bharuch, Anand, south Ahmedabad, Botad, 90 -100 kmph gusting to 120 kmph over Devbhoomi Dwarka, Jamnagar, Porbandar, Rajkot, Morbi, Kheda districts of Gujarat from May 17 night till May 18 early morning. Gale winds speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph likely to prevail along & off Dadra, Nagar Haveli, Daman, Valsad, Navsari, Surat, Surendranagar, districts from May 17 evening till May 18.
- The fishermen are advised not to venture into eastcentral Arabian Sea along & off Maharashtra – Goa coasts and into northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli coast till the noon of May 18.