Speed Post News Network
New Delhi : The northern limit of Southwest Monsoon continues to pass through 5°N/72°E, 6°N/75°E, 8°N/80°E, 12°N/85°E, 14°N/90°E and 17°N/94°E and conditions are likely to become favourable for onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala around May 31, 2021.
Due to strengthening of southerly winds, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy falls very likely over North-eastern states and adjoining East India from May 30, 2021.
A Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation lies over north Pakistan and neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels with a trough aloft in mid and upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 66°E to the north of latitude 28°N; a cyclonic circulation lies over Punjab and neighbourhood and a trough runs from this cyclonic circulation to northeast Rajasthan in lower tropospheric levels. Under their influence; isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm activity likely over Western Himalayan Region and adjoining plains of Northwest India during next 4-5 days, according to National Weather Forecasting Centre of India Meteorological Department (IMD).
A trough runs from southeast Madhya Pradesh and neighbourhood to south Tamil Nadu across Vidarbha, Telangana, and Rayalaseema and a cyclonic circulation lies over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka coast in lower tropospheric levels. Under their influence and other favourable meteorological conditions; scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/thunderstorm likely over Karnataka, Kerala, and Mahe, and isolated to scattered rainfall/thunderstorm over remaining parts of south Peninsular India during next 4-5 days. Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Kerala andahe during next 5 days; Coastal Karnataka on June 2; South Interior Karnataka on June 2; Coastal Andhra Pradesh on May 30 & 31.
Scattered Heat Wave conditions very likely over West Rajasthan on May 30. Isolated heat wave conditions also likely over East Rajasthan, south Punjab, south Haryana and Vidarbha on May 30.